you are making the economy the most important issue in this election. we all got sidetracked with other issues but the economy should actually be number one, and where the votes really matter, it seems you're favoring president barack obama. i want to bring in steven moore. he's an editorial writer for the wall street journal and a good friend of the show. christine romans also joins us. she's host of "your bottom line" right here on cnn. i want to shoe yw you a poll of likely voters. in ohio, florida and pennsylvania, 51% say president obama would do a better job on the economy. no incumbent has won the white house without winning florida. ohio and pennsylvania are crucial states. steven, despite the economy right now, this weird optimism, is this the end of romney's chance to win? >> yeah, i think this upsurge in consumer confidence is hurting mitt romney, no question about that, ali. interestingly, i looked at the gallop data on consumer confidence, and they came to an interesting conclusion. they found that the big surge in consumer confidence on th